Generative Trajectory Forecasting and Anomaly Detection in Smart Surveillance Videos via Interleaved Multi-Scale Motion Modeling

Authors

  • Martin Chambers Department of Computer Science, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL, USA. Author
  • Wiktar A. Dernendez School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, USA. Author

Keywords:

generative trajectory forecasting, anomaly detection, multi-scale motion modeling, smart surveillance, video understanding, system architecture, fairness, governance

Abstract

The rapid proliferation of video surveillance infrastructure in public and private spaces has created an urgent need for automated systems capable of understanding complex motion patterns and detecting anomalous events with high reliability. Traditional approaches to anomaly detection in surveillance video rely on handcrafted features or shallow learning models that fail to capture the hierarchical nature of human movement across multiple spatial and temporal scales. This paper proposes a comprehensive system framework for generative trajectory forecasting and anomaly detection that leverages interleaved multi-scale motion modeling. The architecture integrates generative trajectory predictors with a multi-stream encoder that processes motion cues at granularities ranging from instantaneous optical flow to long-term behavioral sequences. By interleaving representations across scales, the system achieves a fine-grained understanding of normative motion contexts while maintaining computational tractability for real-time deployment. We discuss structural trade-offs inherent in scaling such models, including the tension between predictive accuracy and inference latency, the governance challenges of deploying generative models in high-stakes environments, and the sustainability implications of large-scale video processing. Cross-domain comparisons with alternative architectures such as spatiotemporal graph networks and transformer-based video encoders are provided to contextualize the proposed approach. Furthermore, we examine robustness to adversarial perturbations, fairness across demographic groups, and policy implications for privacy-preserving surveillance. The paper concludes with a forward-looking perspective on how interleaved multi-scale motion modeling can inform next-generation infrastructure for safe and equitable urban monitoring.

References

1. Sultani, W., Chen, C., & Shah, M. (2018). Real-world anomaly detection in surveillance videos. In Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (pp. 6479–6488).

2. Luo, W., Liu, W., & Gao, S. (2017). A revisit of sparse coding based anomaly detection in stacked RNN framework. In Proceedings of the IEEE International Conference on Computer Vision (pp. 341–349).

3. Zong, B., Song, Q., Min, M. R., Cheng, W., Lumezanu, C., Cho, D., & Chen, H. (2018). Deep autoencoding Gaussian mixture model for unsupervised anomaly detection. In International Conference on Learning Representations.

4. Alahi, A., Goel, K., Ramanathan, V., Robicquet, A., Fei-Fei, L., & Savarese, S. (2016). Social LSTM: Human trajectory prediction in crowded spaces. In Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (pp. 961–971). 5.Jin, Haopeng, et al. "HY-Himmel Technical Report: Hierarchical Interleaved Multi-stream Motion Encoding for Long Video Understanding." arXiv preprint arXiv:2605.08158 (2026).

6. Hasan, M., Choi, J., Neumann, J., Roy-Chowdhury, A. K., & Davis, L. S. (2016). Learning temporal regularity in video sequences. In Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (pp. 733–742).

7. Liu, W., Luo, W., Lian, D., & Gao, S. (2018). Future frame prediction for anomaly detection – A new baseline. In Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (pp. 6536–6545).

8. Bhattacharya, D., Cuzzolin, F., & Balasubramanian, V. N. (2021). Deep learning for anomaly detection in videos: A survey. ACM Computing Surveys, 54(3), 1–38.

9. Gupta, A., Johnson, J., Fei-Fei, L., Savarese, S., & Alahi, A. (2018). Social GAN: Socially acceptable trajectories with generative adversarial networks. In Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (pp. 2255–2264).

10. Salzmann, T., Ivanovic, B., Chakravarty, P., & Pavone, M. (2020). Trajectron++: Dynamically-feasible trajectory forecasting with heterogeneous data. In European Conference on Computer Vision (pp. 683–700).

11. Mohamed, A., Qian, K., Elhoseiny, M., & Claudel, C. (2020). Social-STGCNN: A social spatio-temporal graph convolutional neural network for human trajectory prediction. In Proceedings of the IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (pp. 14424–14432).

12. Zhu, P., Han, F., & Deng, H. (2023, December). Flexible multi-generator model with fused spatiotemporal graph for trajectory prediction. In IET Conference Proceedings CP874 (Vol. 2023, No. 47, pp. 417-422). Stevenage, UK: The Institution of Engineering and Technology.

13. Carreira, J., & Zisserman, A. (2017). Quo vadis, action recognition? A new model and the kinetics dataset. In Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (pp. 6299–6308).

14. Bertasius, G., Wang, H., & Torresani, L. (2021). Is space-time attention all you need for video understanding? In Proceedings of the International Conference on Machine Learning (pp. 813–824).

15. Sohn, K., Yan, X., & Lee, H. (2015). Learning structured output representation using deep conditional generative models. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (pp. 3483–3491).

16. Yao, S., Zhao, Y., Zhang, A., Hu, S., Shao, H., Zhang, C., & Abdelzaher, T. (2020). Deep learning for the internet of things. Computer, 53(4), 50–59.

17. Howard, A. G., Zhu, M., Chen, B., Kalenichenko, D., Wang, W., Weyand, T., ... & Adam, H. (2017). MobileNets: Efficient convolutional neural networks for mobile vision applications. arXiv preprint arXiv:1704.04861.

18. Yang, Z., Wang, Y., Chen, C., & Yun, X. (2019). An energy-efficient approach for deep learning inference on embedded systems. In Proceedings of the ACM/IEEE International Symposium on Low Power Electronics and Design (pp. 1–6).

19. Li, Z., & Hoiem, D. (2017). Learning without forgetting. IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence, 40(12), 2935–2947.

20. Madry, A., Makelov, A., Schmidt, L., Tsipras, D., & Vladu, A. (2018). Towards deep learning models resistant to adversarial attacks. In International Conference on Learning Representations.

21. Buolamwini, J., & Gebru, T. (2018). Gender shades: Intersectional accuracy disparities in commercial gender classification. In Proceedings of the Conference on Fairness, Accountability, and Transparency (pp. 77–91).

22. Selbst, A. D., Boyd, D., Friedler, S. A., Venkatasubramanian, S., & Vertesi, J. (2019). Fairness and abstraction in sociotechnical systems. In Proceedings of the Conference on Fairness, Accountability, and Transparency (pp. 59–68).

23. Kipf, T. N., & Welling, M. (2017). Semi-supervised classification with graph convolutional networks. In International Conference on Learning Representations.

24. Feichtenhofer, C., Fan, H., Xiong, B., Girshick, R., & He, K. (2022). A large-scale study on unsupervised spatiotemporal representation learning. In Proceedings of the IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (pp. 3299–3309).

25. Han, S., Mao, H., & Dally, W. J. (2016). Deep compression: Compressing deep neural networks with pruning, trained quantization and Huffman coding. In International Conference on Learning Representations.

Downloads

Published

2026-05-22

How to Cite

Generative Trajectory Forecasting and Anomaly Detection in Smart Surveillance Videos via Interleaved Multi-Scale Motion Modeling. (2026). Journal of Data Intelligence and AI Systems, 1(1). https://www.jdataai.org/index.php/home/article/view/24